Adam Lovejoy writes from London: You know what I think? I think the war between America and China is inevitable. And it might happen sooner rather then later, as it’s fashionable to predict events nowadays, but it’s bound to happen. Otherwise, China will become too powerful and start biting off chunks of neighbouring countries, gradually establishing its domination throughout Asia and far beyond, and we would all be forced to learn Mandarin – or face execution.
Let’s look at the issue with brutal honesty. If you ask any Western politician, or any politician for that matter, what he or she thinks of China they would produce the usual drivel about the booming economy, unprecedented industrial growth, huge potential and so on. Blah-blah-blah. But if you ask them what will happen in about 30 or 40 years, they’ll say that China would probably dominate the world by then, including militarily. And some might even confess that they have a bad feeling that China may become very aggressive and very adventurous in the very near future. And they’ll probably be right, considering that the commies are boosting their military arsenal like there’s no tomorrow.
Russia is a good example of how China exercises its quiet expansion policy. Millions of Chinese have already settled in Russia, in the Far East and East Siberia, and many locals from these parts will tell you how uncomfortable they feel, seeing these closely knit Chinese communities, very secretive and very resourceful when it comes to doing business and pushing aside competitors. The man in the street in Russia will tell you that China is gradually building up its ‘fifth column’ and that war with China is inevitable in the next couple of decades because of territorial disputes.
The feeling amongst ordinary Russians is that China simply has to grab more land in the next 10 or 20 years, in order to accommodate its huge population.
Next important point: China is a ruthless communist dictatorship, with a corrupt and opportunistic leadership that survives only because the Chinese people are generally hard working, disciplined and obedient. They will listen to their leaders as long as they can provide them with minimal comforts and an opportunity to make a modest living. In the past 30 years the Chinese leaders have been able to do this, simply because the world economy was growing and demand for cheap goods was extremely high.
The unscrupulous bankers in the West didn’t give a damn where to invest, as long as it brought them huge profits, so they pumped billions into the Chinese economy, without even thinking that they were funding a vile communist regime based on oppression and widespread slave labour. Western bankers have been ignoring the plain simple fact that the Chinese regime was diverting large chunks of profits from the industry into bolstering its mighty army, which some day may start marching across borders in all directions.
Money men generally have no understanding of how things work in the real world. These are mostly ignorant people, with limited intelligence and often very modest education, who view life only through the prism of foreign exchange rates and rates of interest and returns. There is nothing more to them.
Should I continue, or are you frightened already? OK, I’ll continue. Apart from the obvious military threat, the Chinese national idea has an aggressive undertone. The Chinese generally are very nationalistic and patriotic and consider their country to be the centre of the world, and even the universe. They view other nations as pawns in the great game of creating the mighty Chinese superpower that will rule the world. China even calls itself the Middle Kingdom, meaning that it is the empire between the sun and the rest of the irrelevant world. Communist regimes tend to promote a feeling of national superiority and doggedly nurture it. Inflaming misguided patriotism has always been part of any communist spin, and Chinese communist leaders are no different.
Another factor that makes China very dangerous is its current economic problems that are getting worse by the day. On the face of it, China’s economy is still strong, but in reality it is staring into the abyss, having been for so many years totally dependent on producing very cheap and low quality goods for the hungry Western markets. The West no longer wants all that junk. All the talk by Chinese leaders of redirecting their economy to the domestic consumer is obviously rubbish. No sane person in China will ever buy goods that he knows were badly made for export purposes.
So we all agree that China poses a danger. And we might as well agree that the US is the only country that can start a war with China – and win it. Especially as it owes China trillions of dollars that it would never be able to repay.
So this is what America would proabably do: it should tell the Chinese leadership that the US government is defaulting on its financial obligations to China and will not honour its IOUs. China will start going into economic meltdown, threatening to attack Taiwan, Japan or South Korea. This will be the trigger for all of these countries to ask for American help and the US would duly oblige, attacking China and destroying most of its military instillations. The People’s Liberation Army – an ironic name for armed forces, by the way, that have been oppressing their own people for 60 years – will rebel against the communist regime and China will start to disintegrate. We’ll probably see the emergence of two or three Chinas – and that will forever remove the threat of one great big communist China attacking anyone in the future, because these new three countries will be bickering between each other, fighting for supremacy.
A that would be a perfect scenario for the rest of the world.
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